GEOINT
Geopolitical intelligence covering global alliances, international relations, foreign policy, and emerging threats.
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Test yourself on the week of May 9: U.S. President Donald Trump visits China, India and Kenya host summits, and several prime ministers have a rough time.
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Restrain and Hedge: A New U.S. Nuclear Strategy for a Two-Peer World
What if fielding more nuclear weapons makes the United States less secure, not more? That question is now at the center of a growing debate as the United States confronts a nuclear landscape shaped by two major nuclear rivals.China is rapidly expanding and modernizing its nuclear arsenal, while the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START), the last remaining nuclear arms control deal between the United States and Russia, has expired. In what appears as the beginning of a new, more dangerous nuclear age, some analysts believe the United States should increase the size of its deployed nuclear arsenal. Others believe
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Both Trump and Xi Overestimate Themselves
Elites in both China and the U.S. are too easily tempted to buy into their own myths. -
Analyzing Trump’s Foreign Policy and Its International Implications
In 2016, Ben Friedman wrote, “The Trump Administration Will be Hawkish,” where he argued that despite Trump’s non-interventionist campaign rhetoric, structural forces, hawkish appointees, and an entrenched foreign policy bureaucracy would push him closer toward conventional military interventionism. Ten years later, we asked Ben to revisit his arguments.Image: Max Goldberg via Wikimedia CommonsIn your 2016 article, you argued the Trump administration would adopt a hawkish foreign policy, namely towards Russia, China, and Iran. What can we gather about his foreign policy objectives towards those countries from his first term and the first year of his second term? What factors have
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Sensationalism Doesn’t Serve Society
Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selection of articles from Ukrainian media offering insight into how Ukrainians themselves debate the issues shaping their country.American coverage often narrows the view to the battlefield — these pieces widen it, revealing the texture of daily life, politics, and public argument in a nation at war. The perspectives gathered here are varied, candid, and often surprising, together forming a more complete picture of Ukraine as it really is.Frontline and StrategyОбозреватель —
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Iran War Chokes ‘Major Driver’ of Global Economy
The Hormuz crisis is hitting diesel even harder than crude. -
Southeast Asian Leaders Tackle Iran War Vulnerabilities
Global market shocks spark calls for a regional power grid and emergency fuel stockpile. -
A Foreign Correspondent of Animal Kingdoms
How a headstrong field biologist helped birth the worldwide conservation movement. -
As Adversaries Integrate, U.S. Partners Bypass Washington
The drones hitting Gulf Arab states daily since the United States and Israel launched large-scale military operations against Iran in February are not merely Iranian. They are originally Iranian, yes. But these designs and production processes were improved and refined by Russia through years of battlefield testing against Ukrainian defenses. So, they were returned to Tehran from Moscow. Confronted with a threat that Ukraine has spent four years learning to counter, the United States found itself in unfamiliar territory. It was one of 11 countries requesting Ukrainian counter-drone assistance to defend against Iran’s attacks, despite the American president’s assertion that
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Britain Leaves Two-Party Politics Behind
Local elections this week will lay bare growing fragmentation across the United Kingdom.
